Paraguay will see moderate growth in beef production out to 2020/21 as key structural impediments prevent stronger gains. The export market will remain paramount for the Paraguayan beef sector and will drive output growth over the coming years. Success will depend on opening new markets and diversifying destinations. Growing demand for higher-quality beef cuts will support domestic consumption...
A commodity price spike is one of our 'hidden risks' for 2017, along with several other low-probability but high-impact events. Current market consensus, as well as our own view, is for only modest commodity price gains in 2017. Nonetheless, a broad-based commodity price spike in 2017 is plausible and below we highlight potential scenarios under which a price surge could occur.
Republican candidate Donald Trump's victory in the 2016 US presidential election will have considerable impacts across the agribusiness sector, especially over the coming years. Much of this will be determined by how closely Trump sticks to his campaign proposals. Longer term implications pertain to future Farm Bills and the federal marijuana legislation.
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